Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 310 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Nov 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (07 Nov, 08 Nov, 09 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 360 km/s at 05/2347Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 06/2037Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at 05/2201Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on days one and two (07 Nov, 08 Nov) and active to minor storm levels on day three (09 Nov).
III. Event probabilities 07 Nov-09 Nov Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 06 Nov 069 Predicted 07 Nov-09 Nov 069/069/069 90 Day Mean 06 Nov 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 05 Nov 001/001 Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Nov 004/007 Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Nov-09 Nov 020/028-021/030-026/036
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Nov-09 Nov A. Middle Latitudes Active 40/40/40 Minor Storm 35/30/30 Major-severe storm 05/05/05 B. High Latitudes Active 10/10/10 Minor Storm 25/30/30 Major-severe storm 60/55/55